September 23, 2022 Smart bets on Apple TV+ games

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Tonight it offers an impressive two-game roster that’s only available on Apple TV+. We start at 7:05 pm ET with a historic game between the Red Sox and Yankees, where Aaron Judge sat down with 60 homers. Next up will be the Cardinals and Dodgers in Los Angeles at 10:10 pm ET when Albert Pujols will swoop for career round 699. Let’s review four bets you can make to break a sweat together tonight via DraftKings Sportsbook. .

That seems like a low total, given the matchup between Gerrit Cole and Rich Hill. Cole’s battles against the Red Sox are well documented, so why not revisit them? This season against the Yankees’ arch-rival, Cole has recorded a 0.326 wOBA, seven home laps allowed, and a 5.20 FIP and 5.48 ERA in four starts. Earlier this month, Cole faced this Red Sox club at Fenway Park and was tagged for four runs in six innings — three of which included homers. This matchup has been a struggle for him and I would expect this to continue tonight.

On the other hand, Rich Hill has yet to face the Yankees this season due to time spent on the injured roster. He’ll have his first try tonight, but I don’t expect much here either; Hill doesn’t dig deep into games. In 19 of his 23 starts, Hill failed to pass 5 2/3 innings. In four of his last five starts, the veteran left-hander has made no more than five kicks, allowing a total of 13 runs during that time. Chasing Hill early would have given the Yankees a few hits against this Red Sox bullfight that had been one of their weak points all season.

More than 4.5 runs against the Red Sox have been frequent for the Yankees. New York had over 4.5 runs in nine of the clubs’ 15 meetings this year. As I mentioned earlier, I expect Hill to be out of this game early, which means at least three or four hits from the Boston bullfight. That’s usually not a good thing (unless, of course, you have more than 4.5 runs for the Yankees). I wouldn’t be surprised if most of the required runs come from Hill, as he allows at least four earned runs in eight of his 23 starts. Most of the teams that tagged him for this damage have had success against left-handers, such as the Astros, Braves, and Rays.

I wouldn’t be surprised if we see an early offense in this game. Now, to be fair, the two players tonight, Cardinals’ Jose Quintana and Dodgers’ Andrew Heaney, were very good for their respective teams. However, both clubs hit the left-backs very well. The Cardinals are leading the league with 140 wRC+ against lefties, while the Dodgers are just outside the top 10 at 112. Despite Quintana posting a 3.16 ERA, her xERA sits at 3.93. Heaney is another example of this, as his 2.66 ERA is accompanied by 3.33 xERA.

Both teams were strong in overtaking the game total during the first five innings. Entering tonight, the Dodgers are 74-66-10 in the first five innings, while the Cardinals are 73-67-11. While both shooters are doing well this season, I think they’re both going to compete against some very good offenses.

Is tonight the night the Pujols approached a 700 homer? Pairing is definitely good for him. Heaney has struggled to limit his home runs this season, giving up 1.7 out of nine in 61 innings. In total, he allowed 12 home runs, 11 of which came off the bat of a right-handed player. Pujols hit 12 of his 19 homes with a left-handed pitcher, including six on the road. It’s been six games since Pujols made his last home run, which put him in fourth place on the all-time list. Heaney has historically given up a large number of flying balls, and is doing so by 45.7% in 2022. With Pujols’ strength against the lefties, this could be a big night for “The Machine.”

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